NORFOLK, Va. — With the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season on the horizon, meteorologist are focusing on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a key driver of seasonal storm behavior.

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The main variable that is considered from the coupled climate models' ENSO forecasts is the NINO3.4 index. All models that NCC surveys run a suite of forecasts known as an ensemble. Both the ensemble ...

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