Iran conflict termed a new cold war amid stalled peace talks. Permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026 at 0.8% YES.

Israeli air strikes target Hezbollah positions north of the Litani River. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 remains at 100% YES.

Iran conflict impacts China's economy, affecting car sales and factories. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 0.4% YES.

Trump is reviewing an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Lifting the US blockade by May 31 at 57.5% YES.

Iran plans to share defense capabilities with SCO, reducing chances for a nuclear deal. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 1 ...

IDF dismantles 1,000 Hezbollah positions and seizes weapons. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Yair Lapid will receive 10 of the top 24 mandates in the Together Party’s Knesset list, according to KAN sources, and the ...

Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria won the election with 45% of the vote. Radev becoming Prime Minister after the 2026 election is at 96.4% YES.

All three major contracts on the Israel-Hezbollah conflict are at 100% YES for a ceasefire, diplomatic talks, and Trump's ...

The probability of the UK sending warships to the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, sits at 1.2% YES, down from 2% ...

Amazon stock hits an all-time high, narrowing the gap with Nvidia. Nvidia as the largest company by market cap on June 30 at ...

Three Bank of Japan members dissented in favor of a rate hike today, pushing market odds for a June rate hike to 74% and ...