Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

The Monday Night Football game isn’t as sexy with the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams. AFC playoff picture The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos went back and forth, and it came down to a field goal with one second left.

Based on three different playoff projectors, the Packers’ probability to make the postseason sits somewhere between 70 and 80 percent entering Week 11. According to Next Gen Stats, the Packers (6-3) have a 72 percent chance of making the playoffs and could raise their probability to 79 percent with a win over the Chicago Bears on Sunday.

Here's everything you need to know when the Green Bay Packers play the Chicago Bears Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season.

Back from their bye and with the second half of the season starting on Sunday at the Bears, here is a look at the Green Bay Packers’ playoff picture.